Some economists and politicians are advocating a second economic stimulus package. Here are my thoughts on a second stimulus.
State governments likely have a better idea than Congress regarding what are high value spending projects within each state. On the whole, pre-existing state spending was likely already going to the highest value projects available. Since state governments are now being forced by circumstances to drastically cut back at a time when Congress's stimulus package is in effect, this suggests that Congress massively misallocated capital with the first stimulus.
If Congress creates a second stimulus package, it should only consist of more aid to the states and extended unemployment benefits. Congress should avoid a bunch of bells, whistles, and pet projects. Stuff like cash for clunkers and subsidies to transfer existing homes from one person to another are just real-life examples of the broken window fallacy.
Warren Buffett described the first stimulus package as a mix of Viagra and candy. Aid to the states and extended unemployment benefits would be pure Viagra. Most other spending options would be candy.
Kamis, 08 Oktober 2009
My thoughts on a second stimulus
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